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Back: Rosatom
Export categoryNuclear power · The sovereign energy of the future
Target marketsTurkey

Rosatom

Turkey · State customer · small nuclear generation programme

By our model, competitors take 92% of the primary choice in the category.

Measurement: Q1 2026Manageable gap
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0Choice Control IndexChoice Control Index, 0–100: how far the company gets through the AI systems' choice stages and how often it wins. Measured across the category universe, one methodology, one wave — the position only means something relative to that universe.
64Participation index
11Win index
17%Shortlist rate
5%Winning scenarios
$0.4 bnReachable marketThe market volume reachable by the company, not the capacity of the whole category. Our model's estimate — a range, not an exact figure.
$320 kPrice of one CCI pointA model conversion of index points into money: 25 CCI points are taken as roughly 2 percentage points of market share. A working calibration — not confirmed by the methodology, checked by re-measuring after the intervention.

What to change to be chosen

We found three possible directions for growth. We estimated how each of them could affect the buyer's choice and potential revenue.

  • RosatomTurkey
    H19 mo

    Make the small-capacity line a choice in its own right.

    Shortlist1729AI answers out of 100 that name Rosatom
    +71%to revenue from the buyer's decision journeyScenario estimate
  • RosatomTurkey
    H28 mo

    Enter consideration in the Turkish nuclear programme.

    Shortlist1725AI answers out of 100 that name Rosatom
    +47%to revenue from the buyer's decision journeyScenario estimate
  • RosatomTurkey
    H38 mo

    Remove the main objection: no reference abroad.

    Shortlist1724AI answers out of 100 that name Rosatom
    +41%to revenue from the buyer's decision journeyScenario estimate
Full market study

Category universe

Nuclear power · Wave Q1 2026

Who takes part in the primary choice

The index measures the category's players by one methodology in a single wave. A single object's position only means something relative to this universe.

RankCompanyCCI
01
NuScale Power
30
02
Rolls-Royce SMR
27
03
EDF / Nuward
21
04
RosatomRU
7

The release universe — the category's players measured in this wave by one methodology.

Companies in the universe4Nuclear power
Category median24CCI / 100
Category leader30NuScale Power
Rank of Rosatom4 / 4gap, pts 23

The company sits below the universe median (24). The gap is structural: the mechanics of getting into the primary choice are not worked out across the whole group of Russian objects in the category.

RO
Rosatom
7/100
Choice Control Index
Strengthen participationAnalyse the scenarios

CCI and competitors

Company CCI
Top-3 average CCI
Reachable market
CCI (0–100)Capacity of the «Small modular reactors» category, mn USD
Competitors shape the choice before the first contact.
A point-in-time measurement of presence in the AI choice, 7 systems, Q1 2026. Demo data.

25 CCI points ≈ 2 percentage points of market share — a working calibration.

More about the CCI methodology — more

Key data
MarketTurkey
BuyerState customer
AI systems in the measurement7
Competitors in the universe4
Choice scenarios2
Reaches the AI recommendation5%
Universe median24
Competitors' share of the primary choice92%
Measurement periodQ1 2026

A point-in-time measurement: a slice on a date, without smoothing or trends.

Presence map

Choice Control Index State customer

A model projection by buyer type on the Turkey market: a cell estimates the share of scenarios in which the AI assistant puts the company on the primary shortlist. The study's buyer is measured; other types are derived from it.

🏳️TurkeyAverage CCI
State energy operator13
State customer6
Distributor12
Procurement buyer7
Public procurement7
Average CCI99
CCI 0100 — Cell CCI

Empty cells are markets where the measurement has not been collected yet.

The largest gap is on the priority export markets with the highest capacity: the larger the demand, the denser it is taken by competitors.

13CCI
State energy operator · Turkey

Buyer type «State energy operator» in the Turkey market: CCI 13. The primary choice is formed mostly between competitors.

Choice scenarios in the cell

Choosing a reactor technology for the second nuclear site
7 AI systems · TR, EN
Looking for an alternative to the current technology partner
7 AI systems · TR, EN

The key scenarios are shown; the full list is in the analysis.

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Interpretation

What this means

The company enters the primary AI choice with an index of 7 out of 100. This is not an assessment of the product — it is an assessment of how machine-readably the company is present in the sources AI systems rely on.

This is manageable. The cells with the highest index show that, given a structured argument, the systems readily put the company into the shortlist. The task is to extend that to the remaining cells.

Index sensitivity

Wave Q1 2026

What a higher position can change

Change the target CCI and source coverage to see the model's sensitivity. The calculation shows a possible change of position inside the model and is not a revenue forecast.

Move the target index level — the model recalculates what share of the category is redistributed.

Target CCI level38/100
CCI 38 · current measurement 7 · category median 24
Coverage of choice sources35%
share of the shortlist-forming sources where the company is present
Measured
Current CCI7Wave Q1 2026
Target CCI38+31 over the measurement
Model
Model shortlist presence77.9%now 17.0%
Model change of category share+0.71 ppcategory share

Model assumptions

Reachable market — $400 mn
1 CCI pt ≈ $0 mn of category capacity (not the company's revenue)
Industry coefficients, not calibrated to the company's data
Returns diminish: the last index points cost more
The model does not account for the regulatory constraints of individual markets

Analytical summary

Key findings of the study

A participation gap, not a quality one
The company shows up in the discussion but rarely reaches the recommendation: participation index 64 against win index 11. A product is not knocked out of the shortlist — it never gets in.
Below the universe median
CCI 7 against the category median 24. The leader is NuScale Power with 30; the gap is 23 points.
Where the choice is lost
The main loss factor is “In the answers the small-capacity product is not linked to the brand”, named in 66% of answers.
The economic weight of the gap
This study's market is worth $0.3–0.5 bn a year. The position in AI choice decides how much of it reaches consideration.
The index is built out of sources
The leaders' advantage is the density of structured sources, not the price of the product. That is exactly what makes the index manageable.

Measurement

Measured: the Choice Control Index, the participation and win indices, the composition of shortlists in the choice scenarios.

Projection

Projected: the distribution across buyer types, the reachable market and the sensitivity of category share to the index. These are model estimates, not a measurement.

Wave Q1 2026 · CCI methodology v1.0 · measurement systems: ChatGPT · Perplexity · Google AI · Gemini · Claude · Yandex

Citation

CCI methodology v1.0

How to cite the index

The release data is open for citation in media, analytical materials and academic work with a reference to the source.

Permanent link

GolOps. Choice Control Index: Rosatom. Wave Q1 2026, CCI methodology v1.0. GolOps Research, 2026.

https://golops.io/companies/rosatom/turkey-state-customer

For media

The release charts are available for publication. A comment from the research group is provided on request.

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Data correction

Companies mentioned in the release can submit corrections. Justified discrepancies are taken into the next wave.

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Manageability

This can bechanged.

The index can be changed: it is built out of sources, and sources are manageable.

Start with a diagnostic — an analysis of 5 cells and a plan for the priority markets.

Request a diagnostic

Profile and inclusion criterion

Rosatom

The Akkuyu track record pulls Rosatom into the early stages of the choice, but in the small-capacity segment the AI systems barely connect it to a ready product and steer towards Western vendors.

Choice question: Choosing the reactor technology for a second nuclear site

Universe of the “Small modular reactors × Turkey” study: 4 objects in the choice funnel, one methodology, one wave.

This is a managerial gap, not a reputational one: the sources AI systems rely on do not carry structured data about the company in the form they quote for its competitors.

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Data verification

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