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Feeds the food markets

Grain and agri-export

Monitoring
RU Choice Index · Grain & Agro ExportThe sector index is the average Choice Control Index across the basket of the sector's objects, measured on the target markets with their ICPs. CCI is calculated per object; the sector figure is their aggregate across the researched categories, not a stand-alone survey of the sector.Measured on Global · ICP international buyer · Q1 2026
16/ 100

16 out of 100 — this is how much the sector's companies influence the choice that AI shapes0 — the buyer never sees you, 100 — you are recommended first

Photo: Dan Kollmann · CC BY-SA 3.0
Economic scope of the research$215–262bn / year2025 · 12 of 12 categories
Subsectors6
Categories12
Priority studies5
Typical scenarios6

The sector splits into concrete categories where companies compete for the buyer's choice.

For every category we measure where companies stand on the target markets — to find growth points, influence the choice and grow the share of an export category.

Pick a subsector → category → target market.

Subsectors

The ontology is mapped: subsectors and categories are monitored. Category pages open once deep research starts.

Grain crops19

The world's largest export volume with a weak AI presence.

Wheat$48 bn / year21
Barley$9–12 bn / year16
Maize$38–45 bn / year12
Rye$0.6–1 bn / year8

Objects country of origin · commodity · supplier

Oilseed crops14

The feedstock base for processing · Middle East and Asian markets.

Sunflower$12–16 bn / year15
Rapeseed$14–18 bn / year12

Objects commodity · country of origin · supplier

Vegetable oils15

Processed products with brand potential.

Sunflower oil$22–28 bn / year17
Rapeseed oil$16–20 bn / year11

Objects commodity · brand · company · country

Pulse crops12

Niche export positions.

Peas$3–4.5 bn / year12

Objects commodity · country · supplier

Processed products10

Flour and meal · a move into value-added products.

Flour$8–11 bn / year11
Meal$30–38 bn / year9

Objects product · company · country · commodity

Agri-export infrastructure13

Terminals and export logistics services.

Grain logistics$14–20 bn / year13

Objects company · terminal · service

Priority studies

Study = category × market × buyer. Deep analysis is run only for the top of the portfolio.

Wheat × Egyptstate importerPriority 88in the research program
Sunflower oil × Indiaa large distributorPriority 74in the research program
Barley × Saudi Arabiafeed importerPriority 69in the research program
Grain logistics × Turkeyexport traderPriority 57in the research program
Rye × UAEniche importerPriority 32in the research program

Typical choice scenarios

Economic situations in which the choice actually happens in this sector.

  • 01Choosing the country of origin
  • 02Choosing a supplier
  • 03Looking for alternatives to the current origin
  • 04Comparing quality and price
  • 05Choosing a product for specific specifications
  • 06Choosing a logistics operator

Company ranking in AI choiceThe universe is rebuilt on every category scan — the set and order of companies change between measurement waves. The rank is the position in the full universe of the selected market.

Choice Control Index (CCI) of each object on the selected market — participation and win rate combined. Russian objects are flagged.

In AI recommendations (60–100)
Medium (30–59)
Low (10–29)
Critical (0–9)
USA#1 · leader
Cargill
84
USA#2 · −6 pts
ADM
78
USA#3 · −9 pts
Bunge
75
Netherlands · France#4 · −11 pts
Louis Dreyfus
73
China#5 · −20 pts
COFCO
64
Switzerland#6 · −23 pts
Viterra
61

Tile area is proportional to the position in AI choice, colour marks the zone. Click a tile to open the company's release.

Who this measurement is for

Portfolio priorities for this sector are approved at the level of the responsible authority.

Russian Ministry of AgricultureGrain export, quotas and duties, food securityOksana Lut · minister, since 14.05.2024verified 20.08.2026
mcx.gov.ru →
A place for you
Open direction · GolOps Research

Grain and agri-export

Lead the industry's research at GolOps Research. Develop the direction's categories and markets and publish work under your own name.

Authorship stays with you. If a project grows out of the direction's studies, you get a share of its revenue; if the project needs your expertise, you can join it as a paid expert.

12categories
4export markets
16companies measured

MarketsEgypt · India · Saudi Arabia · Turkey

Authorship · share in commercial projects · Terms of participation are fixed before the study starts
How GolOps Research works →

Photo: Dreamy Pixel (CC BY 4.0), Audrey from Central Pennsylvania, USA (CC BY 2.0), Kenneth C. Zirkel (CC BY 4.0), Krzysztof Ziarnek, Kenraiz (CC BY-SA 4.0), Rwebogora (CC BY-SA 4.0), Quintin Soloviev (CC BY 4.0)